Commanders @ Eagles (-6.5)

So the Commanders have started off on an embarrassing note here. Letting up a 70 yard touchdown run on the Eagles very first offensive play of the game. That's quickly followed by Dyami Brown fumbling the ball after the guy pushed his luck battling for yards. Now the Eagles are up on them by more than 10 points and the first quarter isn't even over.

Washington is really trying hard to run the ball on early downs. It's not working all that well. But it makes sense, as Jayden is really struggling to find open outlets in the passing game. That tactical advantage is playing hard in their favor.

Twice they've attempted the tush push, even with Jalen Hurts operating out there with a bum knee. On top of that, Jalen has looked remarkably mobile in the pocket, though he has yet to actually break out a run. Hurts seems far healthier than I initially thought.

All these fumbles that Philadelphia is forcing has been very impressive. It's been the critical difference.