It might not be the most exciting Super Bowl match-up, but it's the match-up we're given this year.
Remarkably enough, both of these teams are similar to one another in construction. The two clubs each have at least four different weapons that can be counted upon to produce yards on offense. Both clubs only feature one elite pass rusher on their roster. Both clubs have staged the same number of comebacks this season. But these two organizations do differ in some intangible respects as well. It's hard to argue against the notion that the Chiefs are entering this contest with the better quarterback and a more rounded coaching staff. But one can also argue the 49ers have some unique edges of their own here, namely a more proven ability to close out games.
After watching some tape of these two franchises against common opponents they've played recently, the Chiefs have impressed me more. When you pair that with the other advantages they boast, it's a little too easy to side with the Chiefs here. The reality is that I do expect the 49ers to put up a very good fight and force Kansas to fight to the very end. And it's possible with a little luck that San Francisco can emerge from this contest as the Super Bowl champions. But the key caveat there is luck - it's hard for me to see San Francisco win solely off roster strength and strategic wit. Even if the 49ers try and emulate the Bills game plan against the Chiefs defense, Buffalo had a major tactical advantage giving their offense a major edge against Spagnuolo's defense. San Francisco doesn't carry any tactical edge here, so expect Kansas to adjust quickly to whatever strategy the 49ers ultimately employ to open the game. I do expect San Francisco to lean heavily on Christian McCaffrey's legs on offense, but a rushing game can only produce so much before teams are forced to compliment their ground game with other dimensions of attack.
That being said, I do understand the 49ers have quite a few horses on offense, but those horses haven't bore much fruit in the postseason so far - few things better illustrate this lack of production from their other skill players than the fact that the 49ers had to develop a whole new vector on offense in the postseason just to pull out wins. While I can see Kyle Shanahan designing plays to try and correct that shortcoming, there's only so many plays before Brock Purdy and his men are essentially left to their own devices. And I'm not sure Purdy running will take people by surprise anymore.
In the end, I just feel better siding with the Chiefs, even if they do end up losing. If the Chiefs do lose, it'll be a disappointing result for me but a result I can accept so long as enough fluky events conspire together to give San Francisco the championship. Either that or maybe Arik Armstead finally steps up as that pass rusher to compliment Nick Bosa along the Niner defensive front.