So after spending much of wild card weekend watching my playoff model be wrong time and time again, I decided to do some tweaking. As noted in my last post ('Wild Card Analysis'), I tweaked how much data management metrics are valued. I also added a new category to record and value elite linebackers and defensive backs. Lastly, I adjusted some team profiles to add or remove players that weren't properly assessed the first time around.

Things seem far more accurate now. The Lions and the Rams are more closer to one another in terms of grading. Los Angeles is still given an edge in their contest against one another, but the prospect of the Lions pulling off the upset turns from a remote possibility to a plausible outcome. The Packers are now a firm favorite over the Cowboys once Dak is demoted as a liability at quarterback. Tampa Bay is valued more favorably against Philadelphia now that they're given an edge as well as more credit for having quite a few elite players lining up behind the defensive front. Cleveland and Miami are decisive underdogs against Houston and Kansas City respectively, so the way those two games played out make considerably more sense. Pittsburgh lost quite a few points after comeback and game management metrics were devalued in this new model. The scoring discrepancy between them and Buffalo is quite substantial if you were to award the Bills credit on certain players who remain iffy as elite contributors, so that would go some way towards explaining the actual result in the game between these two.